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Red154
871125.1
901639.8
584771.9
Blue187
753962.5
20143.7
154066.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14620150100250300154187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+5
Endgame+15
Fouls+33
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
5Coral scored#4
27Coral points20
33Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +9
21Coral scored#19
75Coral points68
1Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
6Processor points18
24Net points28
30Algae points46
105Total teleop114
Reef
12L4#8
6L3#6
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
0Foul points18
154Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.4
71.272.6
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
red by 5.1
1540
#66
66.80.3
67.166.8
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
Second
9016
#47
39.81.4
38.439.8
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
blue by 22.7
7539
#24
62.50.3
62.462.1
Auto12.4
Teleop41.1
End9.0
Third
8711
#73
25.11.4
23.725.1
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End2.6
blue by 18.6
201
#31
43.70.3
44.043.7
Auto11.9
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned93%Barge oddsEarned