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Red152
541169.8
1001125.3
49871.8
Blue187
1069029.3
18089.8
288351.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167162130140150180190200152187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+33
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousBlue +21
0Leave6
5Coral scored#8
23Coral points38
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +12
18Coral scored#21
65Coral points75
2Processor algae#3
9Net algae#8
12Processor points18
36Net points32
48Algae points50
113Total teleop125
Reef
10L4#10
5L3#8
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#4
34Game pieces#40
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
152Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#15
71.80.4
67.066.5
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End9.1
blue by 18.0
180
#8
89.81.2
83.784.9
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
Second
5411
#25
69.80.4
64.463.9
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
red by 18.8
2883
#33
51.01.2
49.550.7
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
Third
25.30.4
22.221.7
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
blue by 3.9
29.31.2
23.524.8
Auto5.1
Teleop21.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
66%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
95%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed