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Red138
20143.7
150177.6
156160.5
Blue105
3420.1
857322.7
253074.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions20012050100150250138105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+31Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave3
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points12
40Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +6
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points60
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
18Processor points6
8Net points12
26Algae points18
84Total teleop78
Reef
9L4#9
5L3#5
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#3
28Game pieces#23
BargeRed +2
14Cage & park12
14Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
138Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#13
77.63.6
74.871.1
Auto21.6
Teleop48.3
End7.7
red by 3.4
2530
#42
74.11.6
71.369.7
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
Second
1561
#27
60.53.6
61.057.4
Auto15.5
Teleop38.6
End6.4
red by 37.8
8573
#71
22.71.6
22.921.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.4
End0.7
Third
201
#31
43.73.6
45.241.6
Auto11.9
Teleop24.0
End7.8
red by 23.6
34
#74
20.11.6
25.523.9
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
42%Coral oddsMissed18%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsMissed93%Barge oddsMissed