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Red208
357262.6
153866.8
1058966.8
Blue208
179247.4
571274.2
150177.6
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions212212208209210211212213214208208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
0Teleop0
0Endgame0
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +8
6Leave0
10Coral scored#9
49Coral points47
55Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +8
30Coral scored#25
107Coral points89
3Processor algae#4
3Net algae#8
18Processor points24
12Net points32
30Algae points56
137Total teleop145
Reef
18L4#11
11L3#11
8L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
46Game pieces#46
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
0Foul points0
208Total score208

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#64
66.8
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
blue by 10.7
1501
#13
77.6
Auto21.6
Teleop48.3
End7.7
Second
66.8
Auto10.9
Teleop51.4
End4.5
blue by 7.4
5712
#36
74.2
Auto12.8
Teleop51.0
End10.3
Third
3572
#70
62.6
Auto18.7
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 15.2
1792
#48
47.4
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
47%Coral oddsMissed78%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
86%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned