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Red91
281361.5
413524.8
3420.1
Blue138
870844.3
770952.3
900847.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1151665010015020025091138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+35
Endgame+47
Fouls+47
AutonomousBlue +13
9Leave9
2Coral scored#4
8Coral points21
17Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#16
46Coral points58
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
70Total teleop92
Reef
5L4#8
3L3#5
5L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +47
0Foul points0
91Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2813
#20
61.51.3
62.761.4
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
red by 9.2
7709
#59
52.30.5
52.852.3
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
Second
4135
#75
24.81.3
26.024.8
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.2
blue by 22.6
9008
#40
47.30.5
47.847.3
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
Third
34
#74
20.11.3
21.320.1
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
blue by 24.3
8708
#61
44.30.5
44.844.3
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsMissed61%Barge oddsEarned