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Red185
386353.0
642930.6
19086.4
Blue168
1663.3
1001125.3
237064.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions195171100150250300185168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+9Teleop
+21Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave0
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points23
36Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
26Coral scored#24
95Coral points87
1Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
6Processor points18
16Net points16
22Algae points34
117Total teleop121
Reef
12L4#12
7L3#7
8L2#5
6L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#36
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
6Foul points10
185Total score168

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
86.40.2
86.986.7
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
red by 21.9
2370
#30
64.50.4
64.964.5
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End8.2
Second
3863
#37
53.00.2
53.253.0
Auto7.7
Teleop35.5
End9.9
blue by 10.2
16
#51
63.30.4
62.462.0
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End8.7
Third
6429
#50
30.60.2
30.830.6
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End7.3
red by 5.3
25.30.4
25.725.3
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsEarned23%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned81%Barge oddsMissed