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Red139
154066.8
345929.4
907736.9
Blue153
19086.4
903729.5
198662.0
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13118150100150200250139153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+16
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave3
1Coral scored#8
6Coral points41
9Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +19
23Coral scored#19
82Coral points67
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
124Total teleop105
Reef
10L4#10
6L3#7
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#35
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points0
139Total score153

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#66
66.80.4
69.569.9
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
blue by 19.5
190
#4
86.41.2
77.876.5
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
Second
9077
#67
36.90.4
25.125.5
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
blue by 25.1
1986
#26
62.01.2
61.059.8
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
Third
3459
#56
29.40.4
27.627.9
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
blue by 0.1
9037
#65
29.51.4
21.520.1
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsMissed98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsMissed