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Red121
850345.6
770952.3
386353.0
Blue187
186839.0
121875.1
1058966.8
33%Model gave it67%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153182050100200250300121187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+64
Endgame+84
Fouls+66
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points31
28Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +55
13Coral scored#22
45Coral points80
2Processor algae#4
3Net algae#5
12Processor points24
12Net points20
24Algae points44
69Total teleop124
Reef
7L4#12
5L3#6
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +66
18Foul points0
121Total score187

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3863
#37
53.03.0
53.850.7
Auto7.7
Teleop35.5
End9.9
blue by 22.1
1218
#16
75.11.7
66.067.7
Auto20.1
Teleop43.3
End11.7
Second
7709
#59
52.33.0
53.750.7
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
blue by 14.5
66.81.7
64.966.6
Auto10.9
Teleop51.4
End4.5
Third
8503
#60
45.63.0
40.937.9
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
red by 6.6
1868
#46
39.01.7
30.031.7
Auto11.8
Teleop22.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
22%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsMissed90%Barge oddsEarned