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Red208
5973.1
948383.3
870844.3
Blue143
153866.8
821460.7
70633.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions196149100250208143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+41Teleop
+65Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
33Total auto27
TeleoperatedRed +35
26Coral scored#23
95Coral points82
5Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
30Processor points12
24Net points20
54Algae points32
149Total teleop114
Reef
9L4#10
10L3#8
7L2#7
5L1 · trough#3
42Game pieces#35
BargeRed +24
26Cage & park2
26Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points0
208Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.9
71.572.3
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
red by 16.5
1538
#64
66.80.9
63.062.2
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
Second
59
#5
73.10.9
67.368.2
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8
red by 12.3
60.70.9
54.453.6
Auto15.2
Teleop42.9
End2.6
Third
8708
#61
44.30.9
44.845.6
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
red by 10.7
706
#55
33.70.9
27.426.5
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
98%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed