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Red242
17673.6
299257.0
62067.6
Blue223
584771.9
237064.5
541169.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188199100150250242223

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
9Coral scored#7
43Coral points34
43Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +13
35Coral scored#30
125Coral points108
5Processor algae#5
7Net algae#8
30Processor points30
28Net points32
58Algae points62
183Total teleop170
Reef
20L4#12
10L3#12
5L2#7
9L1 · trough#6
56Game pieces#50
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
242Total score223

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#19
73.63.2
70.773.9
Auto18.8
Teleop46.5
End8.3
red by 1.7
71.91.5
63.765.1
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
Second
620
#11
67.63.2
58.962.1
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
blue by 2.2
5411
#25
69.81.5
63.965.4
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
Third
2992
#22
57.03.2
50.954.1
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
blue by 7.5
2370
#30
64.51.5
59.460.8
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
76%Coral oddsEarned87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned