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Red164
20143.7
447683.0
1001125.3
Blue186
312873.5
399068.5
281361.5
8%Model gave it92%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150201100250164186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points20
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +16
22Coral scored#26
79Coral points95
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
12Processor points12
20Net points20
32Algae points32
111Total teleop127
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#10
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
164Total score186

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
83.00.9
75.476.3
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
red by 9.4
3128
#18
73.50.5
65.464.9
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
Second
201
#31
43.70.9
41.642.5
Auto11.9
Teleop24.0
End7.8
blue by 24.8
3990
#29
68.50.5
63.262.7
Auto16.8
Teleop42.8
End9.0
Third
25.30.9
21.722.6
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
blue by 36.2
2813
#20
61.50.5
53.152.6
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
52%Coral oddsEarned81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned