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Red70
100239.0
413524.8
640126.2
Blue194
18089.8
468046.4
97177.9
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7723005010015020025030035070194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+23
Teleop+106
Endgame+126
Fouls+124
AutonomousBlue +23
9Leave6
1Coral scored#6
4Coral points30
13Total auto36
TeleoperatedBlue +83
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points76
1Processor algae#5
1Net algae#7
6Processor points30
4Net points28
10Algae points58
51Total teleop134
Reef
4L4#15
4L3#5
3L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#39
BargeBlue +20
4Cage & park24
4Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +124
2Foul points0
70Total score194

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1002
#68
39.01.7
42.140.4
Auto7.7
Teleop29.7
End1.6
blue by 50.8
180
#8
89.80.9
84.984.0
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
Second
6401
#58
26.21.7
19.918.2
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 51.7
971
#17
77.90.9
72.071.0
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Third
4135
#75
24.81.7
23.822.0
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.2
blue by 21.6
4680
#49
46.40.9
42.641.7
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed65%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed87%Barge oddsEarned