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Red168
150177.6
1069029.3
643635.8
Blue217
1663.3
350638.8
755878.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13518550100150200250168217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+39
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave6
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +46
20Coral scored#34
71Coral points123
2Processor algae#3
8Net algae#5
12Processor points18
32Net points20
44Algae points38
115Total teleop161
Reef
10L4#15
6L3#11
8L2#6
2L1 · trough#7
36Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
168Total score217

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#13
77.61.9
71.173.0
Auto21.6
Teleop48.3
End7.7
blue by 1.0
7558
#10
78.62.7
75.778.4
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
Second
6436
#69
35.82.1
33.035.1
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
blue by 27.5
16
#51
63.32.7
52.455.1
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End8.7
Third
29.31.9
24.826.6
Auto5.1
Teleop21.2
End3.0
blue by 9.5
3506
#54
38.82.7
37.440.1
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned53%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned