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Red106
698932.8
900847.3
901639.8
Blue117
23356.1
452280.7
438144.2
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10019850150250106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+17
Endgame+5
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +14
9Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +3
14Coral scored#15
52Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
74Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#9
4L3#5
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#25
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points6
106Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9008
#40
47.30.0
43.743.7
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
blue by 33.4
80.74.6
80.976.3
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
Second
9016
#47
39.80.0
38.038.1
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
blue by 16.3
233
#21
56.14.6
57.052.4
Auto9.0
Teleop41.2
End5.9
Third
6989
#39
32.80.0
23.923.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
blue by 11.4
4381
#62
44.24.6
42.137.5
Auto12.4
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed75%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsMissed