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Red180
821460.7
657451.9
198662.0
Blue179
357262.6
154066.8
223084.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159229100200250300180179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
+1Fouls
AutonomousBlue +14
0Leave0
9Coral scored#12
44Coral points58
44Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +11
21Coral scored#19
74Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
108Total teleop97
Reef
10L4#9
9L3#9
7L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
37Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +10
14Cage & park24
14Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +1
14Foul points0
180Total score179

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#26
62.00.4
59.859.4
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
blue by 22.9
2230
#28
84.92.6
78.676.0
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
Second
60.70.4
53.653.2
Auto15.2
Teleop42.9
End2.6
blue by 6.1
1540
#66
66.82.6
69.967.3
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
Third
6574
#23
51.90.4
52.652.2
Auto9.4
Teleop34.8
End7.7
blue by 10.8
3572
#70
62.62.6
64.361.7
Auto18.7
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed74%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
80%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned