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Red230
948383.3
121875.1
303559.5
Blue155
907736.9
237064.5
903729.5
99%Model gave it1%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215103050150200250300350230155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+59Teleop
+79Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
0Leave3
10Coral scored#5
50Coral points23
50Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +35
28Coral scored#19
100Coral points69
3Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
18Processor points18
24Net points20
42Algae points38
142Total teleop107
Reef
18L4#8
9L3#5
5L2#7
6L1 · trough#4
47Game pieces#32
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
2Foul points6
230Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.31.6
72.374.0
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
red by 18.8
2370
#30
64.52.1
60.862.9
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End8.2
Second
1218
#16
75.11.6
67.769.3
Auto20.1
Teleop43.3
End11.7
red by 38.2
9077
#67
36.92.1
25.527.6
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
Third
59.51.6
52.454.0
Auto10.0
Teleop40.9
End8.6
red by 30.0
9037
#65
29.52.1
20.122.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned35%Barge oddsEarned