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Red202
17673.6
969263.7
468046.4
Blue167
870844.3
850345.6
97177.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188166100150200250202167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+31Teleop
+35Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
7Coral scored#7
37Coral points33
43Total auto36
TeleoperatedRed +24
28Coral scored#18
99Coral points65
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
12Processor points18
16Net points20
28Algae points38
127Total teleop103
Reef
13L4#9
9L3#6
9L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
41Game pieces#33
BargeRed +4
30Cage & park26
30Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +35
2Foul points2
202Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#19
73.61.9
73.975.8
Auto18.8
Teleop46.5
End8.3
blue by 4.2
971
#17
77.90.7
71.071.7
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Second
9692
#52
63.71.9
55.857.7
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
red by 18.1
8503
#60
45.60.7
37.938.6
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
Third
4680
#49
46.41.9
41.743.6
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
red by 2.1
8708
#61
44.30.7
45.646.3
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsMissed61%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned