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Red179
83468.0
770952.3
871125.1
Blue201
5973.1
288351.0
23356.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14519350100250179201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+46
Endgame+24
Fouls+22
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave3
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points23
37Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +57
23Coral scored#33
82Coral points119
4Processor algae#4
2Net algae#7
24Processor points24
8Net points28
32Algae points52
114Total teleop171
Reef
7L4#11
12L3#14
4L2#10
7L1 · trough#3
36Game pieces#49
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
2Foul points0
179Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#45
68.01.7
63.465.1
Auto13.0
Teleop42.5
End12.5
blue by 5.1
59
#5
73.10.8
68.269.0
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8
Second
7709
#59
52.31.7
50.752.3
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
blue by 3.8
233
#21
56.10.8
52.453.2
Auto9.0
Teleop41.2
End5.9
Third
8711
#73
25.11.7
21.423.0
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End2.6
blue by 26.0
2883
#33
51.00.8
51.252.0
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed87%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned89%Barge oddsMissed