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Red160
350638.8
534852.5
62067.6
Blue169
1001125.3
900847.3
494689.7
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions165162120140180200220160169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+9
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
8Coral scored#6
38Coral points28
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +6
23Coral scored#21
82Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
6Processor points12
12Net points20
18Algae points32
100Total teleop106
Reef
13L4#15
9L3#4
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +9
0Foul points0
160Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#11
67.60.7
62.162.8
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
blue by 22.1
89.71.2
84.685.8
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
Second
5348
#38
52.50.7
47.348.0
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
red by 5.2
9008
#40
47.31.2
43.744.9
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
Third
3506
#54
38.80.7
40.140.8
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
red by 13.4
25.31.2
22.623.8
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
38%Coral oddsMissed62%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned91%Barge oddsEarned