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Red199
452280.7
643635.8
299257.0
Blue167
386353.0
162565.8
903729.5
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183136050100150200250300199167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave6
8Coral scored#5
40Coral points23
43Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +28
21Coral scored#23
76Coral points82
4Processor algae#1
10Net algae#6
24Processor points6
40Net points24
64Algae points30
140Total teleop112
Reef
7L4#13
12L3#8
6L2#4
4L1 · trough#3
43Game pieces#35
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
199Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.71.6
76.377.9
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
red by 14.9
1625
#41
65.81.7
62.163.8
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
Second
2992
#22
57.01.6
52.954.4
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
red by 4.0
3863
#37
53.01.7
46.247.9
Auto7.7
Teleop35.5
End9.9
Third
6436
#69
35.81.6
35.136.6
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
red by 6.3
9037
#65
29.51.7
22.223.9
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
62%Coral oddsEarned13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned