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Red162
35354.3
17673.6
303559.5
Blue118
468046.4
198662.0
179247.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions188160100150200250162118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+60Teleop
+50Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave9
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points14
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +53
21Coral scored#11
74Coral points41
5Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
30Processor points6
12Net points16
42Algae points22
116Total teleop63
Reef
8L4#4
7L3#5
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points6
162Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#19
73.61.0
75.874.8
Auto18.8
Teleop46.5
End8.3
red by 11.6
1986
#26
62.02.6
59.456.8
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
Second
59.51.0
54.053.0
Auto10.0
Teleop40.9
End8.6
red by 12.0
1792
#48
47.42.6
47.645.0
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Third
353
#43
54.31.0
46.945.9
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
red by 7.9
4680
#49
46.42.6
43.641.0
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
70%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned67%Barge oddsEarned