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Red135
237064.5
156160.5
640126.2
Blue59
70633.7
534852.5
871125.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651115010015020025013559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+72Teleop
+74Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave0
4Coral scored#2
21Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +51
14Coral scored#8
51Coral points28
3Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
18Processor points6
28Net points12
46Algae points18
97Total teleop46
Reef
10L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
2Foul points0
135Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2370
#30
64.50.5
62.962.5
Auto11.0
Teleop45.3
End8.2
red by 12.0
5348
#38
52.52.8
48.045.2
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
Second
1561
#27
60.50.5
57.957.5
Auto15.5
Teleop38.6
End6.4
red by 26.8
706
#55
33.72.8
29.526.7
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End6.1
Third
6401
#58
26.20.5
19.318.8
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
red by 1.2
8711
#73
25.12.8
23.020.3
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
26%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsMissed