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Red229
541169.8
494689.7
452280.7
Blue143
312873.5
643635.8
770952.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24815650100200300350229143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+72Teleop
+86Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave9
11Coral scored#4
55Coral points21
58Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +44
24Coral scored#24
87Coral points85
6Processor algae#1
8Net algae#5
36Processor points6
32Net points20
68Algae points26
155Total teleop111
Reef
11L4#8
14L3#9
5L2#6
5L1 · trough#5
49Game pieces#34
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points0
229Total score143

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.70.6
85.885.2
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
red by 16.1
3128
#18
73.51.6
66.164.6
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
Second
80.70.6
77.977.2
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
red by 28.5
7709
#59
52.31.6
52.350.8
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
Third
5411
#25
69.80.6
63.763.1
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
red by 34.0
6436
#69
35.81.6
36.635.1
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned27%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsMissed