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Red130
914064.4
162565.8
288351.0
Blue164
900847.3
948383.3
657451.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190173140160180200220240260130164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
Teleop+38
Endgame+30
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave0
6Coral scored#4
28Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +56
10Coral scored#28
35Coral points101
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
69Total teleop125
Reef
5L4#15
4L3#7
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
23Game pieces#37
BargeRed +8
24Cage & park16
24Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points4
130Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#41
65.83.2
63.860.6
Auto11.4
Teleop42.9
End11.5
blue by 17.5
83.30.7
74.073.2
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
Second
9140
#12
64.43.2
62.058.8
Auto12.2
Teleop44.0
End8.1
red by 12.5
6574
#23
51.90.7
52.251.5
Auto9.4
Teleop34.8
End7.7
Third
2883
#33
51.03.2
52.048.8
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
red by 3.7
9008
#40
47.30.7
44.944.2
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
56%Coral oddsMissed46%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned