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Red172
23356.1
571274.2
350638.8
Blue142
353661.6
154066.8
186839.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions177176120140160200220172142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+18Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave6
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +5
29Coral scored#18
105Coral points66
1Processor algae#4
4Net algae#8
6Processor points24
16Net points32
22Algae points56
127Total teleop122
Reef
10L4#7
12L3#7
7L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#32
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
172Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#36
74.20.9
65.166.0
Auto12.8
Teleop51.0
End10.3
red by 7.3
1540
#66
66.81.4
67.365.9
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
Second
233
#21
56.10.9
53.254.1
Auto9.0
Teleop41.2
End5.9
blue by 5.5
3536
#53
61.61.4
61.059.6
Auto10.9
Teleop42.6
End8.1
Third
3506
#54
38.80.9
40.841.6
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
blue by 0.3
1868
#46
39.01.4
34.132.7
Auto11.8
Teleop22.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
77%Coral oddsMissed26%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsMissed