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Red248
755878.6
253074.1
447683.0
Blue112
403971.5
413524.8
1001125.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251115050150200300350400248112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+88Teleop
+100Endgame
+136Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave3
5Coral scored#7
24Coral points34
33Total auto37
TeleoperatedRed +92
29Coral scored#13
103Coral points47
5Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
30Processor points6
20Net points8
50Algae points14
153Total teleop61
Reef
9L4#9
8L3#4
10L2#3
7L1 · trough#4
44Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +136
36Foul points0
248Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
83.01.2
77.476.2
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
red by 11.5
4039
#57
71.50.7
72.071.3
Auto17.8
Teleop44.2
End9.5
Second
7558
#10
78.61.2
78.076.7
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
red by 53.3
25.30.7
23.823.2
Auto6.1
Teleop17.4
End1.8
Third
2530
#42
74.11.2
72.070.8
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
red by 49.4
4135
#75
24.80.7
23.322.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
95%Coral oddsEarned39%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsMissed