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Red229
5973.1
821460.7
62067.6
Blue185
1069029.3
261452.2
121875.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions200160100250300229185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+54Teleop
+44Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave9
10Coral scored#4
49Coral points21
55Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +29
27Coral scored#24
96Coral points85
3Processor algae#2
11Net algae#8
18Processor points12
44Net points32
62Algae points44
158Total teleop129
Reef
15L4#10
11L3#8
7L2#6
4L1 · trough#4
51Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
0Foul points0
229Total score185

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#5
73.12.5
69.071.5
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8
blue by 2.0
1218
#16
75.12.2
69.371.6
Auto20.1
Teleop43.3
End11.7
Second
620
#11
67.62.5
62.865.3
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
red by 15.5
2614
#35
52.22.2
48.150.3
Auto10.4
Teleop36.4
End5.3
Third
60.72.5
53.255.7
Auto15.2
Teleop42.9
End2.6
red by 31.5
29.32.2
28.931.2
Auto5.1
Teleop21.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsMissed89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsEarned37%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsEarned87%Barge oddsEarned