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Red202
153866.8
584771.9
281361.5
Blue213
83468.0
19086.4
698932.8
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197178120140160220240260280202213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
Endgame+9
Fouls+11
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave6
9Coral scored#9
44Coral points45
47Total auto51
TeleoperatedRed +5
28Coral scored#23
101Coral points82
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#7
18Processor points24
20Net points28
38Algae points52
139Total teleop134
Reef
15L4#9
10L3#12
6L2#6
6L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points2
202Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.91.2
67.568.6
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
blue by 14.4
190
#4
86.43.1
76.079.1
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
Second
1538
#64
66.81.2
63.564.6
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
blue by 1.2
834
#45
68.03.1
65.168.2
Auto13.0
Teleop42.5
End12.5
Third
2813
#20
61.51.2
53.754.9
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
red by 28.7
6989
#39
32.83.1
23.526.6
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
86%Coral oddsMissed54%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned96%Barge oddsEarned