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Red197
776978.5
150177.6
3420.1
Blue138
345929.4
753962.5
642930.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions206117050100150250300197138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+23Auto
+55Teleop
+53Endgame
+59Fouls
AutonomousRed +23
6Leave3
8Coral scored#4
38Coral points18
44Total auto21
TeleoperatedRed +32
23Coral scored#20
83Coral points71
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
30Processor points18
20Net points12
50Algae points30
133Total teleop101
Reef
14L4#5
9L3#7
5L2#7
3L1 · trough#5
41Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +59
6Foul points0
197Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7769
#32
78.50.4
76.877.3
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
red by 16.0
7539
#24
62.51.1
57.859.0
Auto12.4
Teleop41.1
End9.0
Second
1501
#13
77.60.4
72.572.9
Auto21.6
Teleop48.3
End7.7
red by 46.9
6429
#50
30.61.1
25.226.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Third
34
#74
20.10.4
23.924.4
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
blue by 9.4
3459
#56
29.41.1
26.727.8
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
37%Coral oddsEarned18%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsMissed96%Barge oddsEarned