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Red198
18089.8
969263.7
901639.8
Blue156
357262.6
1663.3
857322.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18714850100200250198156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+42Teleop
+54Endgame
+42Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
7Coral scored#8
34Coral points40
37Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +45
23Coral scored#19
83Coral points70
4Processor algae#2
7Net algae#2
24Processor points12
28Net points8
52Algae points20
135Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#6
6L3#9
8L2#6
6L1 · trough#6
41Game pieces#31
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +42
0Foul points12
198Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#8
89.80.6
83.584.1
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
red by 26.5
16
#51
63.30.6
58.157.5
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End8.7
Second
9692
#52
63.70.6
57.758.3
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
red by 1.1
3572
#70
62.60.6
61.761.1
Auto18.7
Teleop35.2
End8.8
Third
9016
#47
39.80.6
36.637.2
Auto7.5
Teleop26.1
End6.3
red by 17.1
8573
#71
22.70.6
21.821.2
Auto4.6
Teleop17.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsEarned28%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned84%Barge oddsMissed