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Red171
1058966.8
870844.3
100239.0
Blue172
399068.5
438144.2
49871.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1651870100300400500600171172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
Endgame+7
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points27
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
26Coral scored#23
92Coral points84
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#6
12Processor points18
20Net points24
32Algae points42
124Total teleop126
Reef
12L4#13
11L3#7
3L2#6
5L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#37
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
8Foul points2
171Total score172

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
66.80.1
68.368.2
Auto10.9
Teleop51.4
End4.5
blue by 5.0
498
#15
71.80.7
69.368.6
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End9.1
Second
8708
#61
44.30.1
46.346.2
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
blue by 24.2
3990
#29
68.50.7
61.160.4
Auto16.8
Teleop42.8
End9.0
Third
1002
#68
39.00.1
38.838.6
Auto7.7
Teleop29.7
End1.6
blue by 5.2
4381
#62
44.20.7
38.638.0
Auto12.4
Teleop26.2
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
64%Coral oddsMissed57%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed97%Barge oddsMissed