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Red169
386353.0
281361.5
83468.0
Blue226
303559.5
18089.8
49871.8
19%Model gave it81%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17521850100150200250300169226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+67
Endgame+57
Fouls+57
AutonomousBlue +21
3Leave6
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points45
30Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +46
19Coral scored#29
67Coral points103
2Processor algae#3
6Net algae#7
12Processor points18
24Net points28
36Algae points46
103Total teleop149
Reef
9L4#15
7L3#9
5L2#6
3L1 · trough#8
32Game pieces#48
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +57
0Foul points0
169Total score226

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#45
68.00.1
68.268.0
Auto13.0
Teleop42.5
End12.5
blue by 21.7
180
#8
89.81.4
84.185.4
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
Second
2813
#20
61.50.1
54.954.8
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
blue by 10.3
498
#15
71.81.4
68.670.0
Auto13.5
Teleop49.2
End9.1
Third
3863
#37
53.00.1
47.947.8
Auto7.7
Teleop35.5
End9.9
blue by 6.4
59.51.4
53.054.4
Auto10.0
Teleop40.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
91%Auto oddsEarned99%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
99%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned