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Red183
969263.7
153866.8
198662.0
Blue210
299257.0
978568.0
121875.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18520650100150250300350400183210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+37
Endgame+27
Fouls+27
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
10Coral scored#8
49Coral points41
58Total auto50
TeleoperatedBlue +45
20Coral scored#28
71Coral points100
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
6Processor points18
12Net points16
18Algae points34
89Total teleop134
Reef
14L4#13
9L3#10
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
34Game pieces#43
BargeRed +10
36Cage & park26
36Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +27
0Foul points0
183Total score210

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#64
66.80.2
64.664.8
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
blue by 8.3
1218
#16
75.11.4
71.672.9
Auto20.1
Teleop43.3
End11.7
Second
9692
#52
63.70.2
58.358.5
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
blue by 4.2
9785
#34
68.01.4
63.765.0
Auto12.8
Teleop48.1
End7.0
Third
1986
#26
62.00.2
56.857.0
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
red by 5.0
2992
#22
57.01.4
54.455.8
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed68%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned83%Barge oddsEarned