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Red167
447683.0
907736.9
821460.7
Blue134
62067.6
3420.1
468046.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178140100150200250167134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+53Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
9Leave3
9Coral scored#3
45Coral points13
54Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +15
21Coral scored#20
75Coral points72
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
18Processor points6
20Net points20
38Algae points26
113Total teleop98
Reef
16L4#9
6L3#4
5L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
38Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +20
0Cage & park20
0Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
167Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4476
#14
83.00.4
76.276.5
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
red by 15.3
620
#11
67.60.2
65.365.5
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
Second
60.70.4
55.756.1
Auto15.2
Teleop42.9
End2.6
red by 14.4
4680
#49
46.40.2
41.041.2
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
Third
9077
#67
36.90.4
29.930.2
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
red by 16.9
34
#74
20.10.2
24.424.6
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned