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Red128
698932.8
870844.3
154066.8
Blue200
261452.2
755878.6
179247.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14819150100250300128200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+35
Teleop+72
Endgame+72
Fouls+72
AutonomousBlue +35
3Leave6
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points45
16Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +37
19Coral scored#28
68Coral points99
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
96Total teleop133
Reef
9L4#17
7L3#9
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#5
28Game pieces#44
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +72
0Foul points0
128Total score200

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#66
66.81.3
65.964.6
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
blue by 11.8
7558
#10
78.61.1
76.777.9
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
Second
8708
#61
44.31.3
46.244.9
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
blue by 7.8
2614
#35
52.21.1
50.351.4
Auto10.4
Teleop36.4
End5.3
Third
6989
#39
32.81.3
26.625.3
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
blue by 14.6
1792
#48
47.41.1
45.046.1
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
21%Coral oddsMissed55%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned