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Red135
857322.7
5973.1
350638.8
Blue189
584771.9
23356.1
97177.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14221950100200250300135189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+52
Endgame+54
Fouls+54
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +45
16Coral scored#30
58Coral points107
4Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
24Processor points12
16Net points24
40Algae points36
98Total teleop143
Reef
8L4#11
6L3#14
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#6
29Game pieces#43
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +54
0Foul points0
135Total score189

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#5
73.10.2
71.571.4
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8
blue by 4.8
971
#17
77.90.6
73.472.7
Auto13.2
Teleop53.5
End11.2
Second
3506
#54
38.80.2
41.641.5
Auto6.6
Teleop23.5
End8.6
blue by 33.2
71.90.6
68.668.0
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
Third
8573
#71
22.70.2
21.221.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 33.4
233
#21
56.10.6
54.153.5
Auto9.0
Teleop41.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
40%Coral oddsMissed76%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
90%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned