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Red245
19086.4
253074.1
657451.9
Blue158
770952.3
353661.6
35354.3
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21415650100200250300245158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+32Auto
+67Teleop
+87Endgame
+87Fouls
AutonomousRed +32
0Leave6
12Coral scored#4
58Coral points20
58Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +35
29Coral scored#16
103Coral points58
3Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
18Processor points24
24Net points28
42Algae points52
145Total teleop110
Reef
15L4#8
8L3#7
8L2#3
10L1 · trough#2
50Game pieces#31
BargeRed +20
36Cage & park16
36Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +87
6Foul points6
245Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
86.41.8
79.180.9
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
red by 24.8
3536
#53
61.61.0
59.658.6
Auto10.9
Teleop42.6
End8.1
Second
2530
#42
74.11.8
70.872.6
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
red by 19.8
353
#43
54.31.0
45.944.9
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
Third
6574
#23
51.91.8
51.553.3
Auto9.4
Teleop34.8
End7.7
blue by 0.4
7709
#59
52.31.0
50.849.8
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned