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Red166
903729.5
357262.6
534852.5
Blue169
642930.6
541169.8
20143.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions148156050100200250300350166169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave0
5Coral scored#9
27Coral points44
30Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +17
19Coral scored#20
68Coral points71
3Processor algae#1
6Net algae#4
18Processor points6
24Net points16
42Algae points22
110Total teleop93
Reef
6L4#9
8L3#10
7L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#34
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
0Foul points6
166Total score169

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#70
62.61.5
61.162.6
Auto18.7
Teleop35.2
End8.8
blue by 7.2
5411
#25
69.81.1
63.164.2
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
Second
5348
#38
52.51.5
45.246.7
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
red by 8.8
201
#31
43.71.1
42.944.0
Auto11.9
Teleop24.0
End7.8
Third
9037
#65
29.51.5
23.925.4
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
blue by 1.1
6429
#50
30.61.1
26.327.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed32%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
82%Barge oddsEarned97%Barge oddsEarned