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Red224
399068.5
452280.7
850345.6
Blue155
776978.5
70633.7
288351.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19716750100150250300350224155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+57Teleop
+69Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave3
10Coral scored#6
48Coral points31
54Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +37
31Coral scored#23
110Coral points81
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
18Processor points6
16Net points20
34Algae points26
144Total teleop107
Reef
14L4#13
9L3#7
10L2#5
8L1 · trough#4
48Game pieces#35
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points0
224Total score155

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
80.72.3
77.279.5
Auto20.5
Teleop52.0
End8.3
red by 2.3
7769
#32
78.50.6
77.376.7
Auto16.4
Teleop51.6
End10.4
Second
3990
#29
68.52.3
60.462.7
Auto16.8
Teleop42.8
End9.0
red by 17.5
2883
#33
51.00.6
48.848.2
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
Third
8503
#60
45.62.3
40.843.1
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
red by 12.0
706
#55
33.70.6
26.726.1
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
99%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
79%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
97%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed