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Red217
948383.3
640126.2
312873.5
Blue180
900847.3
345929.4
571274.2
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions175150100200250217180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+26Auto
+35Teleop
+35Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +26
0Leave0
8Coral scored#3
42Coral points16
42Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +9
33Coral scored#27
119Coral points98
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#7
12Processor points12
16Net points28
28Algae points40
147Total teleop138
Reef
18L4#12
10L3#9
10L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
47Game pieces#39
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
2Foul points0
217Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.32.9
73.276.1
Auto19.7
Teleop55.2
End8.4
red by 9.1
5712
#36
74.21.6
66.067.6
Auto12.8
Teleop51.0
End10.3
Second
3128
#18
73.52.9
64.667.4
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
red by 26.2
9008
#40
47.31.6
44.245.8
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
Third
6401
#58
26.22.9
18.821.6
Auto6.8
Teleop17.3
End2.1
blue by 3.2
3459
#56
29.41.6
27.829.4
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned20%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned90%Barge oddsEarned