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Red168
3420.1
1058966.8
18089.8
Blue205
198662.0
62067.6
154066.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19220050100150250300350168205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
13Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +2
27Coral scored#23
97Coral points83
3Processor algae#5
6Net algae#7
18Processor points30
24Net points28
42Algae points58
139Total teleop141
Reef
10L4#9
10L3#9
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points8
168Total score205

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#8
89.80.7
85.484.8
Auto20.1
Teleop59.7
End10.0
red by 22.1
620
#11
67.60.7
65.566.2
Auto18.4
Teleop46.5
End2.7
Second
66.80.7
67.967.2
Auto10.9
Teleop51.4
End4.5
blue by 0.1
1540
#66
66.80.7
64.665.3
Auto8.9
Teleop50.4
End7.5
Third
34
#74
20.10.7
24.623.9
Auto2.2
Teleop13.1
End4.8
blue by 42.0
1986
#26
62.00.7
57.057.7
Auto16.3
Teleop36.7
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
89%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsEarned