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Red195
179247.4
353661.6
1663.3
Blue211
281361.5
5973.1
299257.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17520250100150250300195211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+16
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
33Coral points25
33Total auto31
TeleoperatedBlue +20
28Coral scored#23
102Coral points82
3Processor algae#5
4Net algae#11
18Processor points30
16Net points44
34Algae points74
136Total teleop156
Reef
15L4#6
8L3#9
8L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
42Game pieces#44
BargeRed +2
26Cage & park24
26Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points0
195Total score211

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#51
63.31.3
57.258.6
Auto10.7
Teleop43.9
End8.7
blue by 9.8
59
#5
73.10.9
71.472.3
Auto8.0
Teleop55.3
End9.8
Second
3536
#53
61.61.3
58.659.9
Auto10.9
Teleop42.6
End8.1
red by 0.1
2813
#20
61.50.9
54.855.7
Auto8.1
Teleop42.7
End10.7
Third
1792
#48
47.41.3
46.147.5
Auto10.0
Teleop29.5
End7.9
blue by 9.6
2992
#22
57.00.9
55.856.7
Auto12.6
Teleop40.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed82%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
92%Barge oddsEarned95%Barge oddsEarned