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Red169
907736.9
357262.6
23356.1
Blue180
534852.5
870844.3
35354.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16614880100120140180200220240169180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+11
Fouls+11
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
7Coral scored#5
37Coral points24
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +18
21Coral scored#28
76Coral points100
2Processor algae#3
7Net algae#4
12Processor points18
28Net points16
40Algae points34
116Total teleop134
Reef
9L4#17
9L3#7
7L2#5
3L1 · trough#4
37Game pieces#40
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +11
0Foul points0
169Total score180

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#70
62.60.9
62.663.5
Auto18.7
Teleop35.2
End8.8
red by 8.4
353
#43
54.32.4
44.947.2
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
Second
233
#21
56.10.9
53.554.4
Auto9.0
Teleop41.2
End5.9
red by 3.6
5348
#38
52.52.4
46.749.0
Auto9.6
Teleop35.2
End7.7
Third
9077
#67
36.90.9
30.231.1
Auto9.9
Teleop26.7
End0.4
blue by 7.4
8708
#61
44.32.4
44.947.3
Auto7.4
Teleop30.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed35%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned69%Barge oddsEarned