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Red136
857322.7
753962.5
121875.1
Blue156
288351.0
468046.4
698932.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17912250100150200250136156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+20
Fouls+20
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
34Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +8
21Coral scored#20
74Coral points72
2Processor algae#3
3Net algae#4
12Processor points18
12Net points16
24Algae points34
98Total teleop106
Reef
8L4#11
8L3#6
5L2#5
6L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +16
4Cage & park20
4Total endgame20
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +20
0Foul points0
136Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#16
75.11.4
72.971.5
Auto20.1
Teleop43.3
End11.7
red by 24.1
2883
#33
51.02.4
48.250.6
Auto10.4
Teleop37.4
End3.3
Second
7539
#24
62.51.4
60.459.0
Auto12.4
Teleop41.1
End9.0
red by 16.1
4680
#49
46.42.4
41.243.6
Auto3.5
Teleop36.5
End6.4
Third
8573
#71
22.71.4
21.119.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.4
End0.7
blue by 10.1
6989
#39
32.82.4
25.327.6
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
98%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
44%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
95%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned