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Red238
223084.9
312873.5
584771.9
Blue201
399068.5
903729.5
253074.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237170100150200250300350238201

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+39Teleop
+39Endgame
+37Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
3Leave3
10Coral scored#6
51Coral points31
54Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +19
26Coral scored#27
94Coral points97
6Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
36Processor points18
28Net points24
64Algae points42
158Total teleop139
Reef
15L4#14
9L3#11
6L2#4
6L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#42
Bargelevel
26Cage & park26
26Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +37
0Foul points2
238Total score201

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2230
#28
84.90.8
79.780.4
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
red by 10.8
2530
#42
74.11.8
72.674.4
Auto13.8
Teleop49.4
End11.0
Second
3128
#18
73.50.8
67.468.2
Auto14.4
Teleop48.8
End10.3
red by 5.0
3990
#29
68.51.8
62.764.5
Auto16.8
Teleop42.8
End9.0
Third
71.90.8
68.068.8
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
red by 42.5
9037
#65
29.51.8
25.427.2
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned98%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
87%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned