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Red162
850345.6
657451.9
153866.8
Blue203
494689.7
755878.6
345929.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16421850100150200250300162203

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+12
Teleop+25
Endgame+35
Fouls+41
AutonomousBlue +12
6Leave9
7Coral scored#8
33Coral points42
39Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +13
22Coral scored#19
79Coral points68
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#7
12Processor points24
16Net points28
28Algae points52
107Total teleop120
Reef
15L4#7
6L3#7
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +41
0Foul points6
162Total score203

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1538
#64
66.80.7
64.864.1
Auto15.5
Teleop43.7
End7.6
blue by 22.9
89.70.4
85.084.6
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
Second
6574
#23
51.90.7
53.352.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.8
End7.7
blue by 26.7
7558
#10
78.60.4
77.977.4
Auto19.2
Teleop47.8
End11.7
Third
8503
#60
45.60.7
43.142.4
Auto10.0
Teleop28.8
End6.8
red by 16.2
3459
#56
29.40.4
29.429.0
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
16%Coral oddsMissed92%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned99%Barge oddsEarned