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Red201
150177.6
541169.8
900847.3
Blue182
969263.7
871125.1
447683.0
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197166100150250300201182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+19Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
10Coral scored#8
51Coral points38
51Total auto44
TeleoperatedRed +12
27Coral scored#18
96Coral points66
3Processor algae#4
5Net algae#8
18Processor points24
20Net points32
38Algae points56
134Total teleop122
Reef
13L4#7
11L3#10
9L2#4
4L1 · trough#5
45Game pieces#38
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
201Total score182

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#13
77.60.5
71.972.4
Auto21.6
Teleop48.3
End7.7
blue by 5.4
4476
#14
83.01.1
76.577.6
Auto22.3
Teleop56.9
End3.8
Second
5411
#25
69.80.5
64.264.7
Auto17.8
Teleop43.0
End9.0
red by 6.1
9692
#52
63.71.1
58.559.7
Auto16.8
Teleop37.2
End9.7
Third
9008
#40
47.30.5
45.846.3
Auto8.2
Teleop31.8
End7.3
red by 22.3
8711
#73
25.11.1
21.122.2
Auto3.5
Teleop18.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned89%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsEarned44%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned61%Barge oddsEarned