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Red221
19086.4
156160.5
70633.7
Blue126
643635.8
642930.6
413524.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19884050100150250300221126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+73Teleop
+95Endgame
+95Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
9Leave9
8Coral scored#3
39Coral points14
48Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +48
29Coral scored#18
103Coral points65
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
137Total teleop89
Reef
15L4#6
8L3#6
10L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
44Game pieces#26
BargeRed +22
36Cage & park14
36Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +95
0Foul points0
221Total score126

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#4
86.43.2
80.984.0
Auto25.5
Teleop51.6
End9.3
red by 50.6
6436
#69
35.82.0
35.937.8
Auto10.4
Teleop24.4
End1.1
Second
1561
#27
60.53.2
55.558.7
Auto15.5
Teleop38.6
End6.4
red by 29.9
6429
#50
30.62.0
27.429.4
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Third
706
#55
33.73.2
26.129.3
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End6.1
red by 8.9
4135
#75
24.82.0
21.723.7
Auto5.7
Teleop16.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
48%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned43%Barge oddsMissed