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Red137
345929.4
770952.3
357262.6
Blue149
223084.9
698932.8
70633.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160143100120180200137149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +9
23Coral scored#21
82Coral points75
2Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
12Processor points12
4Net points20
16Algae points32
98Total teleop107
Reef
12L4#9
7L3#8
6L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +10
16Cage & park26
16Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
137Total score149

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#70
62.61.2
62.761.4
Auto18.7
Teleop35.2
End8.8
blue by 22.3
2230
#28
84.90.8
79.380.1
Auto20.8
Teleop53.8
End10.3
Second
7709
#59
52.31.2
54.953.7
Auto13.1
Teleop35.9
End3.3
red by 18.6
706
#55
33.70.8
26.527.4
Auto7.3
Teleop20.3
End6.1
Third
3459
#56
29.41.2
28.827.6
Auto1.8
Teleop22.2
End5.4
blue by 3.4
6989
#39
32.80.8
23.023.9
Auto6.8
Teleop20.1
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsEarned