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Red210
494689.7
584771.9
353661.6
Blue152
1058966.8
35354.3
642930.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions234139100200250300210152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+58Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
4Coral scored#4
20Coral points20
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +58
31Coral scored#24
113Coral points87
3Processor algae#3
10Net algae#2
18Processor points18
40Net points8
58Algae points26
171Total teleop113
Reef
13L4#12
11L3#10
8L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
48Game pieces#33
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
210Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
89.70.9
86.986.1
Auto21.7
Teleop57.2
End10.9
red by 22.9
66.80.2
64.764.9
Auto10.9
Teleop51.4
End4.5
Second
71.90.9
64.663.7
Auto15.8
Teleop53.3
End2.9
red by 17.6
353
#43
54.30.2
52.152.3
Auto10.6
Teleop40.6
End3.0
Third
3536
#53
61.60.9
60.459.5
Auto10.9
Teleop42.6
End8.1
red by 31.0
6429
#50
30.60.2
21.521.7
Auto4.3
Teleop19.0
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
97%Coral oddsEarned17%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
98%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsEarned